Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1436.987557 1642.301181 1872.810888 2151.967880 2482.456838 2863.158775 3337.655565
2025-08-03 1123.795940 1389.631974 1718.024633 2158.446142 2741.169033 3496.459835 4567.251230
2025-08-10 978.746042 1275.511510 1666.579153 2229.644839 3036.437317 4177.566034 5963.742908
2025-08-17 877.911714 1192.558758 1629.141034 2295.211535 3315.203303 4869.788517 7525.188244
2025-08-24 795.437627 1118.389248 1586.283428 2336.247986 3553.020060 5534.753235 9200.560427
2025-08-31 725.236525 1050.225945 1538.972177 2357.000989 3754.344638 6171.656722 10987.843433
2025-09-07 674.040919 1002.797431 1514.496159 2406.252057 4005.763697 6938.740662 13227.430808
2025-09-14 605.237183 919.476883 1421.866595 2325.759342 4011.601903 7252.706384 14638.818520
2025-09-21 547.641549 847.721848 1339.192126 2249.444376 4009.227213 7545.172113 16083.797127
2025-09-28 495.977629 780.500314 1256.522399 2161.215863 3967.695371 7746.479313 17375.356548
2025-10-05 478.839308 769.274623 1268.421442 2248.762085 4289.472970 8788.523528 21103.671278
2025-10-12 455.572651 745.076941 1254.357873 2283.827300 4507.360331 9646.940185 24673.326050
2025-10-19 431.501298 717.889923 1233.130286 2304.215363 4703.082233 10515.750137 28688.939960
2025-10-26 408.105132 689.909036 1207.698456 2312.991869 4875.905334 11376.979371 33099.514025
2025-11-02 395.041187 679.550262 1214.497794 2390.304902 5224.379877 12795.769184 40119.150452
2025-11-09 382.240528 668.423907 1218.410731 2461.588394 5572.539265 14318.287220 48424.904768
2025-11-16 367.654615 652.545527 1211.031031 2506.219102 5861.898026 15758.934301 57348.548666
2025-11-23 352.118799 633.477962 1195.134892 2528.794832 6097.580716 17109.876703 66843.593429
2025-11-30 340.567532 621.319925 1192.414967 2582.384899 6430.956901 18895.941305 79819.988094
2025-12-07 317.947136 585.148868 1135.143153 2494.810522 6342.256424 19199.104285 85394.699087
2025-12-14 297.560836 552.166956 1082.125105 2411.828234 6253.548590 19484.249636 91170.324043
2025-12-21 277.743320 519.106526 1026.421100 2315.949931 6110.504915 19533.748902 95689.245056
2025-12-28 273.742574 518.729375 1043.416849 2411.086543 6582.227341 22140.405323 119006.913252